In light of the current U.S. administration's announcement that it intends to reject the Paris Accord, the article in the url below details the timeline over which such a decision could be implemented:
- November, 2017: "Negotiators for 195 nations will meet in Bonn, Germany, to discuss how to carry out the Paris agreement."
- November, 2018: "Everyone agrees that current pledges under the Paris agreement are nowhere near sufficient to keep total global warming well below 2 degrees Celsius, the threshold widely deemed unacceptably risky. So, starting in 2018, countries have agreed to meet every five years to take stock of their emissions-cutting efforts to date, compare them with what is needed to stay below 2 degrees of warming, and then figure out how to ratchet up their ambitions."
- November 4, 2019: "This is the earliest date that the United States can submit a written notice to the United Nations that it is withdrawing from the Paris deal — exactly three years after it came into force."
- November 4, 2020: "This is the earliest that the United States could officially withdraw from the climate accord. By coincidence, it would happen one day after the next presidential election."
- January, 2021: "If a new president enters the White House on Jan. 20, 2021, he or she could easily submit a written notice to the United Nations that the United States would like to rejoin the Paris accord. Within 30 days, the United States could re-enter the agreement and submit a new pledge for how the country plans to tackle climate change."
- November, 2023: "Negotiators will meet again in 2023 to see how their second round of pledges and actions stack up against the 2-degree goal."
- 2025: "The Obama administration vowed to cut greenhouse gas emissions 26 to 28 percent below 2005 levels by 2025 as part of the Paris deal."
Clearly, whatever has been announced is not yet official; it is also far from irreversible. While the concern is largely over the symbolic effects of the announcement (in terms of both domestic policy and policy in other countries), the timeline indicates the vast gap between political speeches and the hard work of day-to-day diplomacy and international public policy
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U.S. Won't Actually Be Leaving the Paris Climate Deal Anytime Soon
By Brad Plumer
June 8, 2017
The New York Times
Late Edition – Final