These results reminded me a little of academia, and mirror prior research using a simulation to theorize the same principle:
"An organization where promotion depends on competence in a previous role and where the new job requires different skills will indeed end up elevating people to a position they do badly. Random promotions would be a better system, the researchers concluded."
The article concludes that, where a promotion requires skills different to the dominant skills in a person's current role, then performance should not be used to assess whether the promotion is awarded.
Take care
David
David Chandler
Strategic Corporate Social Responsibility: Sustainable Value Creation (6e)
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The problem with promotions
By Bartleby
January 10, 2026
The Economist
Late Edition – Final
55
https://www.economist.com/business/2026/01/08/the-problem-with-promotions